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2012 Senate Exit Polls*

Below are exit poll results conducted by Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International highlighting findings on gender.

(Exit Poll data and overall returns as of 5pm, 11/8/12)

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The Gender Gap: The difference between the percentages of women and men who support a given candidate, generally the leading or winning candidate. Even if women and men favor the same candidate, they may do so by different margins, resulting in a gender gap. We calculate the gender gap for each poll based on the votes of women and men who support the candidate leading in that poll.
   Example: [%Women for Leading Candidate][%Men for Leading Candidate] = Gender Gap

The Women's Vote: The percentage point advantage that one candidate has over the other among women voters – that is, the difference in support for the major party candidates among women voters only.
   Example: [%Women for Obama][%Women for Romney] = Women's Vote

* Exit Polls were only conducted in 31 states.

State Candidate Party
Overall
Gender Gap
Women's Vote
Women
 Men 
AZ Jeff Flake
Richard Carmona
R
D
50%
45%
8 pts. +1% Carmona 46%
47%
54%
43%
CA Elizabeth Emken
Dianne Feinstein
R
D
39%
62%
7 pts. +28% Feinstein 36%
64%
43%
57%
CT Linda McMahon
Chris Murphy
R
D
43%
53%
11 pts. +21% Murphy 39%
60%
49%
49%
FL Connie Mack
Bill Nelson
R
D
42%
55%
8 pts. +20% Nelson 39%
59%
47%
51%
IN Richard Mourdock
Joe Donnelly
R
D
44%
50%
6 pts. +12% Donnelly 41%
53%
47%
47%
ME Charlie Summers
Cynthia Dill
Angus King
R
D
I
31%
13%
53%
1 pts. N/A 27%
16%
54%
34%
10%
53%
MD Daniel Bongino
Ben Cardin
R
D
27%
55%
8 pts. +35% Cardin 24%
59%
29%
51%
MA Scott Brown
Elizabeth Warren
R
D
46%
54%
12 pts. +18% Warren 41%
59%
53%
47%
MI Pete Hoekstra
Debbie Stabenow
R
D
38%
58%
7 pts. +26% Stabenow 36%
62%
42%
55%
MN Kurt Bills
Amy Klobuchar
R
D
31%
65%
13 pts. +45% Klobuchar 27%
72%
35%
59%
MS Roger Wicker
Albert Gore
R
D
57%
40%
5 pts. +10% Wicker 55%
45%
60%
35%
MO Todd Akin
Claire McCaskill
R
D
39%
55%
7 pts. +20% McCaskill 36%
58%
43%
51%
MT Denny Rehberg
Jon Tester
R
D
45%
49%
6 pts. +9% Tester 42%
51%
49%
45%
NV Dean Heller
Shelley Berkley
R
D
46%
45%
9 pts. +6% Berkley 42%
48%
51%
41%
NJ Joe Kyrillos
Robert Menendez
R
D
40%
58%
8 pts. +28% Menendez 35%
63%
44%
55%
NM Heather Wilson
Martin Heinrich
R
D
45%
51%
6 pts. +11% Heinrich 43%
54%
48%
48%
NY Wendy Long
Kirsten Gillibrand
R
D
27%
72%
12 pts. +55% Gillibrand 22%
77%
33%
65%
OH Josh Mandel
Sherrod Brown
R
D
45%
50%
8 pts. +14% Brown 42%
56%
50%
48%
PA Tom Smith
Bob Casey
R
D
45%
53%
9 pts. +18% Casey 40%
58%
50%
49%
VT John McGovern
Bernie Sanders
R
I
25%
71%
8 pts. +54% Sanders 21%
75%
30%
67%
VA George Allen
Tim Kaine
R
D
48%
52%
7 pts. +12% Kaine 44%
56%
51%
49%
WA Michael Baumgartner
Maria Cantwell
R
D
40%
60%
5 pts. +24% Cantwell 38%
62%
43%
57%
WI Tommy Thompson
Tammy Baldwin
R
D
46%
51%
10 pts. +15% Baldwin 41%
56%
51%
46%

© Copyright  Center for American Women and Politics, Eagleton Institute of Politics, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey