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Final National Exit Poll, 2008
Obama: 53%
McCain: 46%
Gender Gap: 7 pts.
Women's Vote: +13% Obama

National Polls 2012
In the selection of recent national public opinion polls below showing presidential preferences, we have highlighted findings on gender.*

Recent attention to the gender gap in presidential vote choice frequently reflects confusion between what is traditionally known as the gender gap in voting between men and women voters and a commonly reported difference in support for each major party candidate among women voters. The data below includes both measures.

The Gender Gap: The difference between the percentages of women and men who support a given candidate, generally the leading or winning candidate. Even if women and men favor the same candidate, they may do so by different margins, resulting in a gender gap. We calculate the gender gap for each poll based on the votes of women and men who support the candidate leading in that poll.
   Example: [%Women for Leading Candidate][%Men for Leading Candidate] = Gender Gap

The Women's Vote: The percentage point advantage that one candidate has over the other among women voters – that is, the difference in support for the major party candidates among women voters only.
   Example: [%Women for Obama][%Women for Romney] = Women's Vote

* Polls are based on samples of either registered or likely voters. Follow the link to each poll for additional details on methodology.


Poll Date
in Field
Overall
Vote
Gender Gap
Women's
Vote
Women
for
Romney
Men for
Romney
Women
for
Obama
Men for
Obama
CNN/Opinion Research 11/2-11/4 Obama  49%
Romney 49%
9 pts., 8 pts. +8% Obama 45% 53% 53% 44%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal 11/1-11/3 Obama  48%
Romney 47%
7 pts. +8% Obama 43% 51% 51% 44%
Pew Research Center 10/31-11/3 Obama  48%
Romney 45%
11 pts. +13% Obama 40% 50% 53% 42%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/31-11/3 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
8 pts. +7% Obama 45% 50% 52% 44%
Politico/GWU Battleground 10/29-11/1 Obama  48%
Romney 48%
8 pts., 8 pts. +7% Obama 45% 53% 52% 44%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/28-10-31 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
5 pts. +5% Obama 46% 51% 51% 46%
Fox News 10/28-10/30 Obama  46%
Romney 46%
8 pts., 9 pts. +8% Obama 42% 51% 50% 42%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/27-10/30 Obama  49%
Romney 49%
7 pts., 7 pts. +6% Obama 46% 53% 52% 45%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/26-10/29 Obama  48%
Romney 49%
3 pts. +2% Obama 48% 51% 50% 46%
CBS/New York Times 10/25-10/28 Obama  48%
Romney 47%
7 pts. +7% Obama 44% 51% 51% 44%
Pew Research Center 10/24-10/28 Obama  47%
Romney 47%
6 pts., 7 pts. +6% Obama 44% 51% 50% 44%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/24-10/27 Obama  48%
Romney 49%
8 pts. +7% Obama 45% 53% 52% 43%
Investor's Business/TIPP 10/22-10/27 Obama  45%
Romney 44%
10 pts. +11% Obama 39% 50% 50% 40%
Politico/GWU Battleground 10/22-10/25 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
11 pts. +11% Obama 43% 55% 54% 43%
Investor's Business/TIPP 10/21-10/26 Obama  47%
Romney 45%
11 pts. +14% Obama 38% 52% 52% 41%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/22-10/25 Obama  48%
Romney 49%
16 pts. +13% Obama 42% 58% 55% 40%
Investor's Business/TIPP 10/20-10/25 Obama  47%
Romney 45%
9 pts. +11% Obama 40% 50% 51% 42%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/21-10/24 Obama  47%
Romney 50%
14 pts. +6% Obama 43% 57% 49% 40%
Public Policy Polling 10/23-10/24 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
12 pts. +12% Obama 42% 56% 54% 42%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/20-10/23 Obama  48%
Romney 49%
16 pts. +15% Obama 41% 57% 56% 40%
Investor's Business/TIPP 10/18-10/23 Obama  47%
Romney 44%
12 pts. +8% Obama 43% 50% 51% 39%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/18-10/21 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
14 pts. +14% Obama 42% 54% 56% 42%
Monmouth University/Survey USA/Braun 10/18-10/21 Obama  48%
Romney 45%
9 pts. +6% Obama 45%  51% 49% 40%
CBS News  10/17-10/20 Obama  48%
Romney 46%
3 pts. +5% Obama 45% 47% 50% 47%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal 10/17-10/20 Obama  47%
Romney 47%
8 pts.,
10 pts.
+8% Obama 43% 53% 51% 43%
Hartford Courant/UConn 10/11-10-16 Obama  55%
Romney 38%
14 pts. +17% Obama 38% 53% 55% 41%
ABC News/Washington Post 10/10-10/13 Obama  49%
Romney 46%
4 pts. +7% Obama 44% 48% 51% 47%
Politico/GWU Battleground 10/7-10/11 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
11 pts. +11% Obama 43% 54% 54% 43%
Monmouth University/Survey USA/Braun 10/8-10/10 Obama  46%
Romney 47%
3 pts. +2% Obama 46% 49% 48% 44%
Fox News 10/7-10/9 Obama  45%
Romney 46%
10 pts. +8% Obama 41% 51% 49% 41%
Pew Research Center 10/4-10/7 Obama  45%
Romney 49%
4 pts. Tied (47%) 47% 51% 47% 43%
Politico/GWU Battleground 10/1-10/4 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
12 pts. +13% Obama 42% 54% 55% 43%
CNN/Opinion Research 9/27-9/30 Obama  50%
Romney 47%
6 pts. +9% Obama 44% 50% 53%  47%
National Journal 9/27-9/30 Obama  47%
Romney 47%
6-9 pts. +7% Obama 44%  50% 51% 42%
ABC News/Washington Post 9/26-9/30 Obama  49%
Romney 47%
9 pts. +9% Obama 44% 51% 53% 44%
Quinnipiac University 9/25-9/30 Obama  49%
Romney 45%
14 pts. +18% Obama 38% 52% 56% 42%
Washington Times/JZ Analytics 9/27-9/29 Obama  50%
Romney 41%
1 pt. +10% Obama 40% 42% 50% 49%
Politico/GWU Battleground 9/24-9/27 Obama  49%
Romney 47%
9 pts. +12% Obama 42% 51% 54% 45%
Fox News 9/24-9/26 Obama  48%
Romney 43%
6 pts. +11% Obama 40% 47% 51% 45%
Politico/GWU Battleground 9/16-9/20 Obama  48%
Romney 46%
14 pts. +15% Obama 40% 53% 55% 41%
Monmouth University/Survey USA/Braun 9/13-9/16 Obama  48%
Romney 41%
10 pts. +14% Obama 39% 45% 53% 43%
Associated Press/GfK 9/13-9/17 Obama  47%
Romney 46%
15 pts. +16% Obama 39% 53% 55% 40%
Pew Research Center 9/12-9/16 Obama  51%
Romney 43%
10 pts. +18% Obama 38% 48% 56% 46%
UConn/Hartford Courant 9/11-9/18 Obama  46%
Romney 43%
13 pts. +14% Obama 39% 47% 53% 40%
Fox News 9/9-9/11 Obama  48%
Romney 43%
11 pts. +14% Obama 39% 48% 53% 42%
CBS/New York Times 9/8-9/12 Obama  49%
Romney 46%
9 pts. +12% Obama 41%  52% 53% 44%
Reuters/Ipsos 9/7-9/10 Obama  50%
Romney 40%
1 pt. +9% Obama 41% 40% 50% 49%
ABC News/Washington Post 9/7-9/9 Obama  49%
Romney 48%
6 pts. +5% Obama 47%  49%  52% 46%
CNN/Opinion Research 9/7-9/9 Obama  52%
Romney 46%
7 pts. +11% Obama 44% 47% 55% 48%
Investor's Business/Christian Science Monitor/TIPP 9/4-9/9 Obama  46%
Romney 44%
11 pts. +11% Obama 40%  48% 51% 40%

© Copyright  Center for American Women and Politics, Eagleton Institute of Politics, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey