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Final North Carolina Exit Poll, 2008
Obama: 50%
McCain: 49%
Gender Gap: 12 pts.
Women's Vote: +11% Obama

North Carolina State Polls 2012
In the selection of recent public opinion polls below showing presidential preferences in the state of North Carolina, we have highlighted findings on gender.*

Recent attention to the gender gap in presidential vote choice frequently reflects confusion between what is traditionally known as the gender gap in voting between men and women voters and a commonly reported difference in support for each major party candidate among women voters. The data below includes both measures.

The Gender Gap: The difference between the percentages of women and men who support a given candidate, generally the leading or winning candidate. Even if women and men favor the same candidate, they may do so by different margins, resulting in a gender gap. We calculate the gender gap for each poll based on the votes of women and men who support the candidate leading in that poll.
   Example: [%Women for Leading Candidate][%Men for Leading Candidate] = Gender Gap

The Women's Vote: The percentage point advantage that one candidate has over the other among women voters – that is, the difference in support for the major party candidates among women voters only.
   Example: [%Women for Obama][%Women for Romney] = Women's Vote

* Polls are based on samples of either registered or likely voters. Follow the link to each poll for additional details on methodology.


State Poll Date in Field Overall Vote Gender Gap
Women's Vote
Women
for
Romney
Men
for
Romney
Women
for
Obama
Men
for
Obama
NC Public Policy Polling 11/3-11/4 Obama  49%
Romney 49%
10 pts., 8 pts. +8% Obama 46% 54% 54% 44%
NC Public Policy Polling 10/29-10/31 Obama  49%
Romney 49%
1 pts., 3 pts. +2% Obama 48% 51% 50% 49%
NC SurveyUSA/WRAL 10/26-10/29 Obama  45%
Romney 50%
4 pts., 5 pts. Tied 47% 52% 47% 43%
NC Elon University 10/21-10/26 Obama  45%
Romney 45%
12 pts., 11 pts. +11% Obama 40% 51% 51% 39%
NC Public Policy Polling 10/23-10/25 Obama  48%
Romney 48%
11 pts., 10 pts. +10% Obama 43% 53% 53% 42%
NC Public Policy Polling 10/12-10/14 Obama  47%
Romney 49%
4 pts. +7% Obama 46% 50% 53% 43%
NC Gravis Marketing 10/6-10/8 Obama  41%
Romney 50%
10 pts. +3% Obama 44% 54% 47% 36%
NC Public Policy Polling 9/27-9/30 Obama  48%
Romney 48%
14-15 pts. +12% Obama 42% 57% 54% 40%
NC NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll 9/23-9/25 Obama  48%
Romney 46%
9 pts. +11% Obama 42% 51% 53% 44%

© Copyright  Center for American Women and Politics, Eagleton Institute of Politics, Rutgers, The State University of New Jersey